Mike Litman
The Bets That Just Got Blessed
A TALK BY MIKE LITMAN

The Bets That Just Got Blessed.

What 98 VCs just agreed on. And what it means if you're building.

31 MARCH 2026

On one day in March, 98 VCs holding $2.6 trillion agreed on a list.

It is the closest thing the industry has to a map.

60

Companies on the Enterprise Tech 30 list.
Out of 15,000+ in the running.

WING VC + NEWCOMER MEDIA, 8TH ANNUAL ET30

WING'S CALL FOR 2026

"Agents moved from demo to production."

PETER WAGNER, FOUNDING PARTNER, WING VENTURE CAPITAL

WHAT PRODUCTION LOOKS LIKE

Five enterprise functions where agents now do real work.

Legal HARVEY, LEGORA, CROSBY
Accounting BASIS, RILLET
Insurance PACE
IT & ops SERVAL
Customer support DECAGON, SIERRA

PETER WAGNER, WING VC, ENTERPRISE TECH 30 2026

Three bets that Wing's Wagner called "killing fields" just got blessed.

Voice · Verticals · Services-as-software

MY STAKE

Four live voice agents. A services-as-software practice. Vertical apps across books, pubs, restaurants and parenting.

When the list came out, I had skin in every blessed bet. This isn't theory.

01
BET 01

Voice is the breakout vertical.

Five distinct voice companies. Across three stages. ElevenLabs took #1 Late. Granola took #2 Mid. The most cohesive single-category bet on the 2026 list.

5 VOICE COMPANIES 3 STAGES #1 LATE
VOICE ON THE 2026 LIST

The five who made it.

ElevenLabs #1 LATE
Granola #2 MID
Wispr Flow #8 MID
Retell AI #10 EARLY
David AI #11 MID

ElevenLabs is the engine. The others run on it.

From analysis to APIs to agents.

Gong was the analysis era. ElevenLabs was the API era. Retell, Wispr Flow and Granola are the agent era. Voice is now fully institutional.

02
BET 02

Verticals are back from the dead.

Two years ago the line was: "you can't make money doing that." Wagner now: "Investors have suddenly opened their hearts to vertical applications." The killing fields are now the gold rush.

KILLING FIELDS, NOW FUNDED WAGNER QUOTE
THE NEW VERTICALS

Specific beats horizontal.

Basis ACCOUNTING
Avoca HOME SERVICES
Pace INSURANCE OPS
Assort Health HEALTHCARE OPS

Horizontal AI was a feature. Vertical AI is a workflow. Workflows are what enterprises buy.

All four sit in categories Wing's Wagner called "killing fields" two years ago. All four are on the institutional list in 2026.

03
BET 03

Outcomes are now fundable. Seats aren't enough.

Crosby is structured as an AI-powered law firm, not a SaaS vendor. It took #6 in Early. Wagner: VCs are "making bets on full-blown services businesses that are selling outcomes instead of seats." This is a category change in what counts as tech.

OUTCOMES, NOT SEATS CROSBY = AI LAW FIRM
WHY NOW

AI compresses service margins toward software. Buyers want outcomes, not tools.

Services were unfundable for two decades because labour scales linearly. AI fixes the labour curve. The margin gap between SaaS and services just closed enough for VCs to fund both.

04
THE EARLY STAGE

Early stage is now an agentic toolbox.

Mintlify, Dust, LlamaIndex, CrewAI, E2B, Arcade. Most of Early is orchestration, sandboxing, evals and tool-calling primitives. Wagner: a group "that didn't exist a couple years ago."

ORCHESTRATION EVALS SANDBOXING TOOL-CALLING
WHAT THE LIST DROPPED

Mercor. Deel. Rippling. Abridge. Surge AI.

What these have in common: each sold a workflow that agents now do directly. Recruiting outsourcing. HR ops. Data labelling. Medical scribing. The list dropped them because they are becoming features inside an agent stack, not products on top.

NEWCOMER'S NOTE

Decagon beat Sierra by two ranks. Decagon is the less highly valued company.

Sentiment is running ahead of valuation. The next round usually corrects.

THE STRONGEST OBJECTION

If 98 VCs agree, the trade is crowded. Build anyway.

Lists like ET30 are not buy signals for LPs. They are build signals for founders: where buyers and dollars are concentrating. SaaS was "crowded" in 2010. The winners still ran the table.

IF YOU'RE BUILDING RIGHT NOW

Three things to do this quarter.

01
Pick a vertical. Generic is over.
02
Sell outcomes, not seats. The Crosby model has air cover.
03
Build the toolbox. Half of Early is plumbing.
THE NON-OBVIOUS MOVE

Get on a list. Institutional consensus is the new distribution channel.

Being on the ET30 concentrates VC dollars and customer attention onto 60 names. Treat list-eligibility as a Q3 deliverable, not a vanity metric.

MY BET

Voice. Already in. Doubling down.

Four live agents. ElevenLabs at #1. The bet I already had. Now I push harder.

A TALK BY MIKE LITMAN

Demo is over. Production is the bar.

mikelitman.me · hello@mikelitman.me

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